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Contents
  1. 1Principle
  2. 2Calculation method
  3. 3Blast effects and damage criteria
  4. 4Worked example: a propane forklift
  5. 5Use in quantitative risk assessment
  6. 6Vapour clouds and limitations
  7. 7See also
  8. 8Notes
  9. 9References

TNT equivalence is a method that expresses the blast energy of an explosion as the mass of trinitrotoluene (TNT) that would release the same energy.[1] NUREG-1805 calls it one of the most common methods for estimating the effects of an explosion, because the blast effects of TNT have been studied extensively as a function of charge mass and distance.[1] The method multiplies the mass of released fuel by its heat of combustion and by a yield, the fraction of the energy that drives the blast wave.[2] It then divides the result by 4,500 kJ per kilogram of TNT.[1] The distance to a target, divided by the cube root of the TNT mass, gives a scaled distance at which the overpressure is read from an ideal blast wave chart.[3] The yield is the largest uncertainty, ranging from about 1 % for unconfined releases to 100 % for confined ones.[2]

The method rests on ideal blast wave theory, which treats an explosion as an instantaneous release of energy at a single point.[4] That suits compact condensed-phase explosives and bursting pressure vessels.[4] For vapour clouds, however, the SFPE Handbook reports that early assessments with such correlations were not very successful, and newer methods use the flame speed or computational fluid dynamics instead.[5] In risk studies, the resulting overpressures are related to the distances at which buildings are damaged and people are injured.[6]

Principle

NUREG-1805 defines an explosion as a sudden and violent release of high-pressure gases into the environment, fast enough for the energy to dissipate in a shock wave.[7] It distinguishes physical explosions, such as the failure of a tank heated from outside, from chemical explosions.[8] Chemical explosions include gas and dust explosions as well as condensed-phase explosions of high explosives and propellants.[8] When a firecracker or a stick of dynamite explodes, the violent reaction produces a shock or blast wave. This is a thin shell of highly compressed air and hot gases that expands rapidly in all directions.[9] The peak overpressure in the wave is highest near the source and falls rapidly with distance.[9]

The energy behind an explosion can take several forms. Physical energy may be pressure energy in a gas, strain energy in a metal or electrical energy, as in the burst of a vessel under high gas pressure.[10] Chemical energy comes from a reaction, such as the combustion of a flammable gas.[10] An explosion in a vessel tends to be uniform, while an explosion in a long pipe propagates along it.[10] TNT equivalence applies the same yardstick to all of these, by reducing each to the energy that drives the blast wave.[1]

Far from the source the blast wave has a characteristic shape. A shock raises the pressure suddenly to a peak, a rarefaction follows in which the pressure falls below atmospheric, and the pressure then recovers.[11][4] When the recovery takes the form of a second shock, the pressure history looks like a slightly deformed letter N and is called an N wave.[4] The impulse of the wave, its overpressure integrated over time, matters for the dynamic response of structures.[4]

Ideal blast wave theory assumes that the energy is released instantaneously at a single point, so that the wave is described by one parameter, the blast energy.[4] Its correlations combine theory with test data from compact condensed-phase explosives.[4] Because the blast effects of TNT are well documented as a function of charge mass and distance, it is convenient to express other explosions as an equivalent TNT charge.[1] As a unit of energy, the conversion table of the SFPE Handbook lists the ton (nuclear equivalent of TNT) as 4.20 × 109 J.[12]

Calculation method

NUREG-1805 sets out the method in three steps, based on the explosion protection chapter by Zalosh in the second edition (1995) of the SFPE Handbook.[2][1][13] It applies to a flammable gas or vapour that has been released, has mixed with air within its flammable limits and has then been ignited.[2][14] The first step gives the explosive energy of a flammable vapour release from its mass, its heat of combustion and the yield:[2]

E=αΔHcmF

The yield is the fraction of the available combustion energy that takes part in generating the blast wave. It is typically about 1 % for unconfined releases and up to 100 % for confined ones.[2] NUREG-1805 lists net heats of combustion of, for example, 46,360 kJ/kg for propane, 50,030 kJ/kg for methane and 130,800 kJ/kg for hydrogen.[1] The second step converts the energy into an equivalent TNT mass:[1]

WTNT=E4500

Here WTNT is in kilograms and E in kilojoules, so each kilogram of TNT stands for 4,500 kJ of blast energy.[1] At full yield, one kilogram of propane is therefore equivalent to about 10 kg of TNT, and one kilogram of hydrogen to about 29 kg.[1] The third step divides the distance D from the explosion by the cube root of the TNT mass to give the scaled distance:[3]

Dsc=DWTNT1/3

The overpressure is then read from a chart of ideal blast wave overpressure against scaled distance, which NUREG-1805 reproduces from Zalosh in English and metric units.[3] The chart includes the reflected shock wave and marks the ranges in which building elements fail and in which eardrum rupture, lung damage and death occur.[3] Because the overpressure depends only on the scaled distance, a charge eight times heavier produces the same overpressure at twice the distance.[3]

The 2002 edition of the SFPE Handbook skips the detour through TNT and scales the distance with the blast energy itself.[4] In its dimensionless distance, R is the actual distance in metres, E the blast energy in joules and P0 the ambient pressure in pascals.[4] The overpressure, divided by the ambient pressure, is then read against this distance:[4]

R¯=R(P0E)1/3

Its chart gives both the incident overpressure and the overpressure reflected head-on from a rigid wall.[4] Neither curve includes reflection from the ground, and the usual procedure is to double the blast energy to account for it.[4] For the burst of a pressure vessel whose gas does not ignite, the blast energy is the isentropic expansion energy of the gas, E = (P1 − P0)V/(γ − 1).[4]

Symbol Description Unit
E explosive or blast energy kJ (NUREG-1805) or J (SFPE)
α yield: fraction of the combustion energy that drives the blast wave none
ΔHc theoretical net heat of combustion of the fuel kJ/kg
mF mass of flammable vapour released kg
WTNT equivalent mass of TNT kg
D, R distance from the explosion m
Dsc scaled distance m/kg1/3
R¯ dimensionless scaled distance none
P0 ambient pressure Pa
P1 initial pressure in a bursting vessel Pa
V vessel volume m³
γ ratio of specific heats of the gas none

Blast effects and damage criteria

NUREG-1805 lists the possible effects of an explosion: blast damage, thermal effects, missile damage, ground shock, cratering and personal injury.[15] Indirect effects add to these, such as fragments and debris set in motion by the blast, and people thrown against the ground, walls or other objects.[2] Much of the data on these effects comes from studies of industrial and military explosives, with a growing amount from investigations of process plant explosions.[2]

Damage thresholds are expressed as peak overpressure. In a table compiled by Clancey, typical glass failure occurs at 0.15 psig, about 1 kPa, and houses become uninhabitable through partial demolition at 1.0 psig, about 7 kPa.[9][15] The walls and roofs of houses partly collapse at 2.0 psig, the lower limit of serious structural damage lies at 2.3 psig, and a building is probably destroyed completely at 10.0 psig.[15] The extent of damage also depends strongly on nearby reflecting surfaces.[9]

People withstand relatively high pressures. NUREG-1805 gives 35 kPa as the limit for eardrum rupture and 70 kPa as the limit for lung damage.[16] Mortality reaches 1 % at 180 kPa, 50 % at 260 kPa and 99 % at 350 kPa.[16] When blast waves kill, it is usually through falling objects rather than through the pressure itself.[16] Building elements fail at far lower pressures: glass windows at 2 to 7 kPa and unrestrained brick walls at 7 to 15 kPa.[17]

For risk studies, Barry gives a generic breakdown of damage levels.[6] Overpressures of 2.5 to 5 psig cause heavy damage to buildings and process equipment, and about 1 % deaths from lung damage.[6] At 1 to 2.4 psig buildings suffer repairable damage, at 0.5 to 1 psig glass breaks, and at 0.15 to 0.30 psig about 10 % of window panes break.[6]

Worked example: a propane forklift

The examples in NUREG-1805 show how the steps work in practice. The first considers a forklift powered by liquefied petroleum gas in a nuclear power plant, whose fuel system could release 48 lb, about 21.8 kg, of propane vapour.[18] With a yield of 100 % and the heat of combustion of propane, the first two steps give:[1][18]

E=1.0×46360×21.8≈1.01×106 kJ,WTNT=1.01×1064500≈225 kg

The spreadsheet in NUREG-1805 reports 1,011,491 kJ and 225 kg of TNT.[18] A recalculation with 21.77 kg gives 224 kg, so the difference is only rounding, and the higher value is kept because it is the more severe. A smaller case is a leaking acetylene cylinder that held 40 ft³ of gas, about 2.7 lb: at full yield NUREG-1805 finds 59,179 kJ, or 13.2 kg of TNT.[19]

The yield changes the result by two orders of magnitude. With the 1 % typical of an unconfined release, the same propane is equivalent to only about 2.25 kg of TNT.[2] At 50 m from the release, the scaled distance is 50/2251/3, about 8.2 m/kg1/3, for full yield, and 50/2.251/3, about 38 m/kg1/3, for 1 % yield.[3] Any given overpressure therefore occurs 1001/3, or about 4.6, times further away at full yield than at 1 % yield.[3] The choice of yield thus determines the size of every hazard zone derived from the chart.

A second example in NUREG-1805 compares 10 lb of acetylene with 5 lb of hydrogen.[20] The hydrogen has half the mass, but its heat of combustion is almost three times that of acetylene.[1] It is therefore equivalent to 66.0 kg of TNT against 48.7 kg for the acetylene, and NUREG-1805 concludes that the hydrogen produces the larger explosive force.[20]

Use in quantitative risk assessment

In quantitative risk assessment of chemical process plants, Barry describes a sequence of steps. The analyst defines the objectives, identifies the hazards, assesses the loss event scenarios, assesses the consequences and assesses the probabilities.[21] Consequence assessment estimates the undesirable result of an accidental fire or explosion for a target, in terms of health and safety, property loss or business interruption.[22]

The assessment weighs the vulnerability of the target against the intensity, distance and time of the hazardous event.[22] Barry distinguishes two levels of vulnerability assessment.[6] Generic tables of damage criteria, such as overpressure thresholds, give a good first-order review but are weak in terms of time relationships.[6] Detailed heat transfer or structural impact models form a second-order assessment, used where time or the specific design, layout or emergency response warrant it.[6]

Among the outcomes of a flammable release, Barry lists the unconfined vapour cloud explosion. A large release, usually of more than 1 ton, forms a cloud that explodes on delayed ignition and exposes the surroundings to overpressure.[23] The exposures from such explosions can be correlated with the energy of the explosion to relate distances to levels of damage and of exposure of people.[6] Plotted as effect zones around the point of release, the results show a fatality zone, an injury zone and a zone of partial building damage between 2 and 0.5 psig.[24] TNT equivalence is one way to make such a correlation, because it turns the energy of a release into the distances at which chosen overpressures occur.[1][3]

Vapour clouds and limitations

The weakest point of TNT equivalence is the vapour cloud explosion. Such explosions occur when a large cloud of flammable gas or vapour is ignited in a highly obstructed area, such as a chemical plant with closely spaced process equipment and storage vessels.[5] The strength of the blast depends on the flame speed that develops and on the degree of confinement in and around the cloud.[5] Early assessments used ideal blast wave correlations with a rough guess at the energy yield, and they were not very successful.[5]

Zalosh gives two reasons. Most of the interest lies in the near field, close to the cloud, and even in the far field the blast from a vapour cloud decays much less rapidly than an ideal blast wave.[5] NUREG-1805 states a related limitation: the ideal point-source correlations cannot be valid within or near the flammable vapour cloud.[14] Current methods instead estimate the flame speed empirically and calculate a non-ideal blast wave, or they model the flame propagation with computational fluid dynamics.[5]

Further assumptions limit the method. The fuel must be mixed with air between its flammable limits, and real mixtures may be non-uniform or stratified.[14] The yield, which spans two orders of magnitude, has to be chosen by judgement.[2] NUREG-1805 adds that the pressures produced are usually difficult to predict.[16] A detonation of the released gas, inside or outside a building, would give even higher pressures, although detonations are very rare.[16]

Damage criteria also differ between sources. Barry associates about 1 % deaths from lung damage with 2.5 to 5 psig, about 17 to 34 kPa.[6] NUREG-1805, by contrast, gives 70 kPa as the limit for lung damage and 180 kPa for 1 % mortality.[16] The energy assigned to TNT is not uniform either: the method uses 4,500 kJ per kilogram, while the SFPE conversion table lists 4.20 × 109 J for the ton (nuclear equivalent of TNT).[1][12] A TNT equivalent and the damage it implies should therefore be read with the yield and the criteria that were used to obtain it.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.06 1.07 1.08 1.09 1.10 1.11 1.12 1.13 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-10.
  2. ↑ 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-9.
  3. ↑ 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.7 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-11.
  4. ↑ 4.00 4.01 4.02 4.03 4.04 4.05 4.06 4.07 4.08 4.09 4.10 4.11 4.12 Zalosh (2002), p. 3-419.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 Zalosh (2002), p. 3-420.
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 Barry (2002), p. 5-186.
  7. ↑ Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-1.
  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-2.
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-7.
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-16.
  11. ↑ Zalosh (2002), p. 3-418.
  12. ↑ 12.0 12.1 DiNenno et al. (2002), p. A-9.
  13. ↑ Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-17.
  14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-15.
  15. ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-8.
  16. ↑ 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 16.5 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-12.
  17. ↑ Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-13.
  18. ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-18.
  19. ↑ Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-21.
  20. ↑ 20.0 20.1 Iqbal and Salley (2004), p. 15-24.
  21. ↑ Barry (2002), p. 5-177.
  22. ↑ 22.0 22.1 Barry (2002), p. 5-182.
  23. ↑ Barry (2002), p. 5-184.
  24. ↑ Barry (2002), p. 5-187.

References

  • Barry, T. F. (2002). Quantitative risk assessment in chemical process industries. In P. J. DiNenno, D. Drysdale, C. L. Beyler, W. D. Walton, R. L. P. Custer, J. R. Hall Jr., & J. M. Watts Jr. (Eds.), SFPE handbook of fire protection engineering (3rd ed., pp. 5-176–5-213). National Fire Protection Association; Society of Fire Protection Engineers.
  • DiNenno, P. J., Drysdale, D., Beyler, C. L., Walton, W. D., Custer, R. L. P., Hall, J. R., Jr., & Watts, J. M., Jr. (Eds.). (2002). SFPE handbook of fire protection engineering (3rd ed.). National Fire Protection Association; Society of Fire Protection Engineers.
  • Iqbal, N., & Salley, M. H. (2004). Fire Dynamics Tools (FDTs): Quantitative fire hazard analysis methods for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Fire Protection Inspection Program (NUREG-1805). U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation.
  • Zalosh, R. (2002). Explosion protection. In P. J. DiNenno, D. Drysdale, C. L. Beyler, W. D. Walton, R. L. P. Custer, J. R. Hall Jr., & J. M. Watts Jr. (Eds.), SFPE handbook of fire protection engineering (3rd ed., pp. 3-402–3-421). National Fire Protection Association; Society of Fire Protection Engineers.